It is the result of modern football.

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It is the result of modern football.

 

Football is a sport that is constantly evolving and has definitely changed in recent times. It is a reality that for many is difficult to accept, but against facts there are no arguments, and the change has even been logical.

The reality that nobody wants to see

The discussion I bring up today is not new, it has been present since the first day I started betting. Whoever bets on the goal market, goes overs, and does not like unders. Is this approach still logical?

Football has become a more tactical sport. The teams look robotic, everything is studied in detail, and the teams are increasingly effective at the defensive level.

But, of course, there are two main reasons why the results are getting shorter and shorter.

First, the pressure that the teams feel in the face of market changes, and secondly, the implementation of the VAR, which has rectified many bids, especially offside goals, which has affected the players psychologically during the matches.

Bookmakers are rarely offering lines of 2.5 with value for “big” teams, with greater scoring capacity, and lines of 3.5 are a constant risk.

The great European sharks are forced to invest more and more, they spend large amounts on the transfer market, and this investment requires sporting results, the pressure is higher than ever.

This causes teams to increasingly protect advantageous results, and to constantly think about the physical state of the players.

Premier League leader Klopp, who rarely spins, has once again criticized the schedule, completely relinquishing the FA Cup, saying he will save the first team, and that he himself will not be present at the meeting.

It is the result of modern football.

In Germany, Bayern has been promising the biggest investment ever, something that has gone against their way of acting.

In Spain, Barcelona and Real Madrid continue to spend all means, and Atletico himself begins to gain status.

Italy begins to be a serious threat, as it is the country that offers the best conditions for players in terms of taxes, and in France PSG continues with its dream of winning the Champions League, and naturally the other teams have to evolve to fight by title.

And finally, of course, England remains dominant in terms of the market, with immense power, in which teams from half the table are able to invest more than 50M in a player.

Even in Portugal, in our reality, clubs are forced to spend more.

Even teams with more modest goals have been forced to invest more and take more risks.

In Spain, for example, Espanyol and Villarreal have already broken their record with the signings of De Tomás and Paco Alcacer. These teams have ambitions, they want to grow, and more and more we see closed games.

The logic that a team takes more risks when they are losing starts to be unreal, and many teams continue with a defensive posture in this scenario, waiting for a possible draw.

And when everything points in favor of unders, bettors continue to be stubborn, trying to find the games most likely to have goals, when they are less and less.

Last weekend, I tried another approach, and it was quite easy to come up with a betting method for choosing unders.

After all, he had done it for many years and did not know. Instead of ignoring a game because it is bad for goals, I bet on the under. And the result was satisfactory.

In 8 games, I missed 1. And I didn’t regret it at the end.

It is true that it is not so funny to see a game to be desired so there are no goals, but we bet to see games or to profit?

If unders are the best market right now, why not explore? There is no logic for not betting on unders right now.

It is probably the best market at the moment, and many already know it, they just choose not to go that way. But, I ask, what prevents you from emotional control?

If they are missing out on good opportunities for a preference, if they are ignoring profit out of stubbornness, isn’t that one of a bettor’s big mistakes?

It does not mean, obviously, that there are no games with value to carry in the overs, there are still games with goals. There are still teams that try, that dominate, that manage to fulfill the handicaps.

However, I challenge everyone to try to look for closed, boring games, with teams that love to waste time, with teams that know how to defend well, with teams that don’t like to take chances and that have difficulties in scoring goals.

I believe that in the end, the profit will speak louder.

Finally, another necessary approach is the market both teams to score. Since there are fewer and fewer goals, we often look for games with the possibility of both teams scoring, but we ended up going over 2.5 or 3.5.

Really think before you bet if you can imagine a 3 – 0 or 4 – 0 scenario, because since I changed this thinking, I have profited much more from games that end 1 – 1.

Special attention to games in which the strongest team plays away from home.

Over 2.5 has always been “my market”, but it comes to a point that we must recognize that the under is also part of the market.